Derrick Henry will be a shortstop against the Buffalo Bills

Derrick Henry will be a shortstop against the Buffalo Bills

Like an Italian grandmother, the NFL is giving us a second helping of Monday Night Football this afternoon before we’re even done with our starter. Seventy-five minutes after the Titans and Bills kick off on ESPN, the Vikings and Eagles will begin the battle on ABC. Here are three props from BetMGM that catch my eye like a big pizza tonight:

Mattison averaged 4.3 carries per game last season when Dalvin Cook was active. Mike Zimmer took the ax and silly offseason speculation that someone other than Mattison might be Minnesota’s RB2 until the first game of 2022, where Mattison handled eight carries for 36 yards as Cook’s clear backup in Kevin O’Connell’s new offense. It’s just a one-game sample size, but giving Mattison a few more totes per contest would be a smart move to mitigate Cook’s increased risk of re-injuring his shoulder.

Philadelphia’s defense ranked last in tackles in Week 1 as it surrendered 181 rushing yards to the Lions. Mattison has accomplished that feat in each of his 24 career games where he has recorded at least five times.

Treylon Burks over 26.5 receiving yards (-115)

The NFL player Burkes was compared to the most during the 2022 draft was AJ Brown. Tennessee must have agreed, as they traded Brown to Philly and drafted Burks to replace him. The rookie wide receiver from Arkansas spent much of training camp dealing with asthma, but has been performing well in games for a Titans offense that could use a breath of fresh air. Burks had a 15.2 percent target share in Tennessee’s season opener, catching three of his five targets for 55 yards. His YAC prowess could redeem that one-throw brace from Ryan Tannehill, and we could also see some garbage-time production in a game where the Titans are 10-point underdogs.

Derrick Henry under 87.5 yards (-110)

At one point, Henry is about to fall off a cliff à la Wile E. Coyote. It might be dumb to bet against him, but he has almost 1,000 touches since 2019 and looked a little sluggish in the two games he played after breaking a bone in his foot last year. Much of Henry’s brilliance as a runner has been beating defenses for three quarters, then cutting long runs in the final frame when he’s consumed their energy like a 247-pound vampire. In Buffalo’s Week 1 win over the Rams, linebacker Matt Milano was the only front seven player for the Bills to take more than 69% of the snaps. That decision to switch defenders helped Buffalo dominate up front throughout the night, sacking Matthew Stafford seven times and holding the Rams to 52 yards.

Tennessee Titans running back Derrick Henry may not be the dominant player he once was, which invites a betting opportunity.  (Photo by Justin Ford/Getty Images)

Tennessee Titans running back Derrick Henry may not be the dominant player he once was, which invites a betting opportunity. (Photo by Justin Ford/Getty Images)

Stats provided by Pro Football Reference, PFF and StatMuse.

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